Saturday, March 4, 2017

Flintlock to gridlock

One hundred and fifty-six years ago our country was plunged into a Civil War which claimed the lives of 620,000 American souls in the Union North and in the Confederate South. Slavery and the economy were the principal reasons, but so was a sharply divided American society. This cultural division was rooted in the desire on the part of the South to maintain the status quo and in the North to upend it (except for those truly wealthy power-brokers that wished to maintain it there, too).

America's future hung suspended for four long agonizing years. The same was true of her economy and balance of power. It was commonly thought at the time that the country could never recover from a Confederate or Union-led government. If the South won, the way of life in the North would be destroyed, and if the North won, the South would cease to exist. So split were the feelings of traditional, rural, agriculture-based America towards the 'barons of industry' in the North. There was no room for compromise, though many tried before the first shots were fired at the Battle of Fort Sumter on April 12th of 1861. There was no going back. There would only be carnage until 1865.

This is what happens when people are hopelessly deadlocked and give up trying to iron out their differences. We often forget that the worst can always happen and that which we are trying to preserve can disappear, quickly and without warning. These many years later we find ourselves living in the nuclear age where a 620,000 death toll that took four years to accumulate then can be accomplished in a matter of minutes, now. Our politicians are huddled at the farthest reaches of their parties, never venturing forth into neutral territory to even consider each other's ideas or proposals. Gridlock is the new flintlock. Intransigence and the policy of personal destruction have replaced discourse.

People today say that America could never again experience another civil war, that we have become too civilized and wouldn't dream of taking up arms against our brothers and sisters. In my heart of hearts I believe that they're right. Unfortunately, there exists the real and present danger of a major breakdown in law and order accompanied by a shrill vocal opposition to our government's policies. This is leading to a political and intellectual disconnect and an unwillingness to live in peace. We needn't look any farther than our most recent Presidential election and the ascendency of Donald Trump to the Presidency to see the division among our citizens.

A seemingly unstoppable wave of protests has taken place since January 20th, protests that have found their raison d' ĂȘtre in a fundamental belief that America is broken and that the political Right is to blame. The loss of an election, when three million more popular votes were cast for the Democratic Party candidate, did nothing to ameliorate the growing unrest in the country. Few people calculated that the anger of the American Left was so overwhelming and so widespread that it would lead to a wholesale loss of faith in the electoral process and an unwillingness to accept a duly elected President. The flames of this resistance have been fueled by identity politics, the media and by many Democrats in Congress and the Senate, and things are rapidly reaching a flash point. By giving their tacit approval to protest groups (by not condemning them) these people have lost their right to be viewed as innocent bystanders. They are now unindicted co-conspirators and are guilty of courting disaster by encouraging a further loss of confidence in our country's institutions.

Those who donate large sums of money in support of sometimes violent protests are ignoring the dangerous consequences of their actions and the irreparable damage that can result from angry mobs. By providing the 'red meat' of financial support and the social media repetition of phony news stories, such donors are using the First Amendment as a shield to protect themselves. Pandering is their politics, and incitement to disrupt peaceful Americans' daily lives should not be condoned or rewarded by looking the other way or by compromising our laws. It is ironic that the Left doesn't understand that by spreading dissension they are actually hurting themselves and their own causes and may be moving us closer to Civil War 2.0.
When order breaks down, the nightsticks invariably come out and the uniformed protective services are called in to keep the peace. We have seen this happen throughout history, and it never ends with a whimper. Now is not the time to ignore our laws. Instead, we should all be thinking of ways to make them work for everybody. The loudest voices must not be allowed to silence the thoughtful ones or we've all lost...not just the battle but the war.

Stephan Helgesen is a retired U.S. diplomat, now author and political strategist. He has written over 600 articles and six books on politics, economics and social trends. He can be reached at stephan@stephanhelgesen.com



Russian to judgment

The Kremlin must be buzzing given all the news coming out of Washington these days. I can see it all now, Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin is feasting on Beluga caviar, drinking champagne, surrounded by balalaikas and high-stepping folk dancers, swirling like dervishes to the tune of the new U.S. media-inspired DC Two step. He must be laughing out loud watching the Democrats sharpen their 'shaskas' (the Cossacks' weapon of choice) in the hopes of mortally wounding the new Attorney General and anyone else in the Trump Administration that has ever talked with a U.S. immigrant Russian cab driver or read a Russian novel in college.

The Republicans are saying that this whole 'Russia thing' is a tempest in a samovar, that the Democrats are engaging in a modern-day Stalin-light purge that they hope will take the entire Trump Administration down. Were this whole hullabaloo not so serious (as it distracts from the important work that needs to be done by the new Administration), it could become a hit play on Broadway, a kind of updated version of one of Anton Chekhov's stories that revealed the seamier side of Russian life.

But it's not a play, nor is it a satire. It is, instead, a glaring example of what happens when a vanquished opponent vows to fight on and is ready to use anything at his disposal to strike a final blow at the victors. If I understand this melodrama correctly, the Democrats believe that the Trump campaign team actively colluded with the Russian government, through its apparatchiks, to insert themselves into our Presidential campaign and then attack and hack the computers of the Democratic National Committee and those of Hillary Clinton and her closest aides and confidants.     They did this on explicit orders from pro-Trump forces who are trying to maintain plausible deniability by 'forgetting' that some of them like the new Attorney General, Jeff Sessions and General Michael Flynn, had meetings with the Russian Ambassador.

It's all playing out like a Matryoshka doll (sometimes referred to as a 'Babushka' or grandmother doll). As one unscrews the head of the first doll it reveals another, smaller doll within it. And so it goes as yet another doll is uncovered. This is the 'drip, drip drip' that eventually killed off both the Nixon and Clinton Presidencies, and if left unchecked, it will weaken the current President's ability to govern even if there is no 'there' there. In order to achieve success and take down Mr. Trump, the Democrats will need to find a 'smoking gun' to prove a link, any link, other than a chance or misremembered meeting with the Russian Ambassador or just slurping a bowl of borscht at the Russian Tea Room in New York City.

So far, the FBI and the CIA are involved as are at least two committees in the Senate and the House. The Republicans hope that they can circle their wagons and avoid a special prosecutor and keep things 'in the family.' The last thing they want is to be backed into a corner and be subject to the same kind of endless hearings that Hillary Clinton endured with the Benghazi debacle or her email server. This could be disastrous to both Republicans AND Democrats as most Americans don't have the stomach for another 'Watergate.' The contentious Presidential primaries and general election  drained most of our strength and left some of us bleeding at the parapet. Even those on the winning side, don't have the patience for another round of 'Russian Roulette.'

We can only hope that any and all investigations will be undertaken, thoroughly, and impartially, and that the 'truth' will out. If it drags on, the only other alternative we have is to plop ourselves on the barcalounger in front of the tube with a huge bowl of popcorn and settle in for some binge watching of: "Doctor Zhivago, "The man who knew too little," "Gorky Park," and the "Hunt for Red October." It could be a long night at the dacha.

Stephan Helgesen is a retired U.S. diplomat, now author and political strategist. He has written over 600 articles and six books on politics, economics and social trends. He can be reached at stephan@stephanhelgesen.com


Democrat walkabout

The Democratic Party is desperately looking for leadership and may be ready to mimic the rite of passage of the indigenous people of Australia by crossing the threshold of their ideological safe space and embarking on a intellectual 'walkabout' in search of their identity...and a new leader. This was to be expected. Every loser walks this walk to some degree. In 2012, the Republicans did an autopsy on themselves, hoping to find the root cause of their death at the polls.

Things will be different for the Democrats. At the vanguard of their walkabout will be our old friend, Barack Obama, who will be guiding their journey with the help of  "Organizing for Action," a non-profit and non-partisan (really?) 501(c)4 that advocates for the agenda of guess who? Yes, Barack Obama. It's the follow-on organization to his "Organizing for America," and it is building an army of community organizers. Their manifesto? In their own words, "With more than 250 local chapters around the country, OFA volunteers are building this organization from the ground up, community by community, one conversation at a time—whether that’s on a front porch or on Facebook. We’re committed to finding and training the next generation of great progressive organizers, because at the end of the day, we aren’t the first to fight for progressive change, and we won’t be the last." 

OFA was the next natural step for Mr. O who is also a very able community organizing strategist. Set up in 2013, OFA was pre-ordained to be the Progressive movement's new messenger. Why? Because Mr. Obama needed a post-2016 election platform to continue preaching his sermons to us as President emeritus, sermons about his wonderfulness and how critical it is for America to continue on the path towards a utopian socialist state. Thinking that he would have a ready-made ally in the new President (Hillary Clinton), Mr. Obama was confident that he could shoehorn his way back into the media spotlight with President HRC's help and begin to rake in mega donations to his cause. He didn't count on the anti-Christ winning the election, however. So while this has made him change his approach, it will not deter him from his mission to make America, Progressive.

The principal tactic of OFA is simple...resistance. After all, isn't it resistance that won our independence from the British; that gave the Negro his freedom? Isn't it resistance that helped shorten the Vietnam War? And, perhaps, most important of all, won't it be resistance that will thwart the dangerous policies of the Trump Administration that are designed to bring America back into the orbit of antiquated American values and save the country from an unhealthy attachment to that outdated document, the Constitution? (Italics are my own.)

I believe, that someplace in the back of his mind, Mr. Obama was actually hoping that Hillary Clinton would lose the election so that he alone could be the Democratic Party's standard bearer in the fight to slay the conservative dragon living on Pennsylvania Avenue. After all, much is at stake for him: a possible repeal of his signature healthcare legislation, an acceleration of deportations at the border, the loss of Federal funds for 'Sanctuary Cities,' the reversal of his beloved LGBT policies, and the list goes on. Hillary Rodham Clinton proved herself incapable of mobilizing the necessary forces to take this fight to Trump. So, borrowing heroics from the 'Lord of the Rings,' Mr. Obama is preparing to answer the people's call for help and strap on his magical sword of oratory and assault the malevolent Trumpian forces of occupation.

This kind of epic, good versus evil battle is tailor-made for an ex-President like Barack Obama whose legacy is under attack and who thinks of himself in Olympian terms. And while he may be starting out his journey to save Middle Earth as Frodo, he will quickly morph into Aragon with the help of his loyal followers. They will see to that and so will the rest of his Party when they regain their senses after their walkabout. Like the penitent man, the Democratic Party will slowly raise its head as one, gaze into the shining countenance of Mr. Obama, and embrace him as their moral compass and their William Wallace. Like the Romans at Masada and the Persians at Thermopylae, the Obamaites intend to vanquish the opposition by the sheer force of their numbers.
Counting on the support of all the angry Democrat voters, disaffected college students, the 'sisterhood' and the LGBT and minority communities, the new Progressive Obama Coalition will coalesce around OFA and '44' and use Indivisible's "Practical Guide for Resisting the Trump Agenda" to overthrow the illegitimate ruler of the United States.

America, prepare yourself, for we are in for a very long, dark and stormy night of protests. The impending coup attempt from the Left may take awhile to reach critical mass, but Mr. Obama can wait. The only thing competing for his time is writing his memoirs (a reported $60 million book deal for his wife and himself). Not bad for a community organizer that suffered under the ignominious yoke of eight years of luxury in the White House.

Stephan Helgesen is a retired U.S. diplomat, now author and political strategist. He has written over 600 articles and six books on politics, economics and social trends. He can be reached at stephan@stephanhelgesen.com